Recession Monitor Example Analysis

Quick Take  We have developed a proprietary economic recession barometer to gauge potential economic recessions. Currently, the barometer shows a low indication of potential economic recession during the next three months, however the number risks has increased during the last several months. Our model is comprised of multiple consumer, industrial, and global economic indicators. In conjunction, we model multiple scenarios to better understand the degree of probability. Both of our Base and Best case scenarios…

Consumer Monitor Update Example

Quick Take  The U.S. consumer generates approximately 70% of GDP through goods and services consumed. Personal income growth and consumer confidence trends remain elevated, which would support economic growth over the near term.   Consumer Monitor  Personal income grew 3.7% y/y in February, down slightly from 3.8% achieved in January and up from recent lows of 1.5% in December 2016. In addition,…